Friday, November 30, 2012

Effect Of The Fiscal Cliff On Short Sales And What Buyers Need To Do Now!

I wish I had thought of this challenge to short sales.  I did not.  I'm just not that financially farsighted.  I heard about it on a report this morning on MSNBC.

The report talked about the relationship between the looming fiscal cliff and the effect such an event might have on real estate short sales.

Here's the thing.  When a property is sold as a short sale, it actually sells for an amount of money that is less than the amount of the outstanding mortgage.  Let's say, for example, that your mortgage is $300,000.  Due to current market conditions, you can only sell the house for $200,000.  So, you have a shortfall of $100,000 against the mortgage.  Your mortgage company agrees to permit you to sell the house for less than the full mortgage amount and you transfer ownership of the property to the new owner for $200,000 and the mortgage company "eats" the remaining $100,000 that you owe.  That's a short sale in it's most basic form.

But here's the dilema.  That shortfall amount is considered to be taxable income on the seller's federal income tax bill.  In the example above, the seller would be responsible for paying the income taxes on an additional $100,000 of annual income.  That is a load of tax money for someone who may already be in financial trouble, which is probably the reason the house is being sold at a loss.

For the last few years, the government has been "forgiving" this shortfall income.  That is one of the reasons why so many sellers are able to sell short -- there is no tax penalty to pay.

But, now comes the fiscal cliff.  Under the new tax rules (more correctly, the "old" tax rules) which may begin on January 1, 2013, the difference in what is owed will likely no longer be forgiven and instead will likely be taxed as ordinary income.

So, now we have people who are forced into a short sale suffering the financial loss of equity from the sale of the property, PLUS a greatly increased personal tax liability due to the shortfall being taxed as ordinary income. 

What is a seller to do?

Well, the great fear among financial experts is that many sellers will simply opt out of the short sale contract and allow the property to go into foreclosure.  This means sellers would cancel existing contracts for sale, and also cancel existing listing agreements with real estate brokers if the sale involves a short sale.  Real estate agents stand to lose in both instances, and mortgage companies stand to lose in the former instance.

If the seller elects to go into foreclosure rather than complete the short sale after January 1, 2013, the buyer is pretty much out-of-luck.  It is pretty darn hard to drag somebody kicking and screaming into the closing room and have them sign away their property at a loss.

So, if you are a buyer of a short sale today, and it seems like you have been under contract for weeks and weeks, and the mortgagee is just dragging things out for no good reason, and the closing agent keeps "losing" your papers, and your real estate agent keeps shrugging his shoulders every time you ask how the sale is going ... well ... it is time for you to get aggressive with everybody involved -- including the seller's mortgage company -- and insist that they get the deal closed on or before December 31, 2012.  If those people won't listen to you, then ask the seller to start calling his real estate and mortgage advisers with the same demand.  Don't stop at one call, call them every cotton-picking day until the deal is closed.  Yes, be a pest. 

If you don't start doing this, come January 1 you just might not have a deal to close at all.

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Wednesday, November 21, 2012

Update On Mortgage Rules

We keep hearing today that it is hard to get a mortgage.  Well, yes, I guess it is.  But it was "easy money" that got a lot of people into financial troubles with real estate a few years ago, so maybe some tightening of mortgage rules and regs was in order.

John Fenech of Sunbelt Lending Services has sent me today's "Basic Mortgage Guidelines"; it's kind of an update on what you can expect if you are looking to get a mortgage in today's market. 

Conventional Mortgage

  • Maximum financing on a primary residence is 97%, but 95% is more sensible because the mortgage insurance premium is very high on 97% loans.
  • Maximum financing for second homes is 90%.
  • Maximum financing for investment property is 75%.
  • Maximum financing on an owner-occupied condo is 75%; if it is going to be a second home, the max financing is 70%.
  • Condos will not be approved for a mortgage if there is pending litigation against the condo association.
  • The maximum mortgage amount is $417,000.  If a larger mortgage is required, it is called a "Jumbo Loan" and requires a 20% down payment and a higher credit score.
  • The minimum credit score needed to qualify is 620; you need 740 to qualify for the best mortgage rates.
  • Investment condo financing is not readily available.
FHA Financing

  • Down payment requirement is 3.5%.
  • Must be a primary residence.
  • Maximum loan amount is $292,500.
  • Minimum credit score is 640, however can go down to 620 by exception.
  • Down payment can be a gift from a family member or grant from employer.
  • Maximum seller contribution toward closing costs and prepaid items is 6%.
  • Condos must be on the FHA approved list.
VA Financing

  • You must be an eligible veteran.
  • Property must be your primary residence.
  • Maximum loan amount is $417,000.
  • Maximum financing is 100% -- $0 down payment!
  • Minimum credit score is 640.
  • Seller can contribute up to 4% of closing costs and prepaid items.
  • Condos must be on the VA approved list.
If you need to know if the condo is approved, here's where you should look ...
https://vip.vba.va.gov/portal/VBAH/VBAHome/condopudsearch
or
https://entp.hud.gov/idapp/html/condlook.cfm

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Thursday, November 15, 2012

October Real Estate: Fair But Flat

I've done a quick comparison of October's real estate activity in Pinellas County to the level in September.  Overall, I'd say the activity was pretty fair, but also pretty flat. 

Let's look at the numbers!

The Absorption Rate (AR) for single family homes in September was 26.9%.  For October it was a very similar 28.5%.  Not much difference there.  This means it will take just about as long to sell a house listed now as it did in September.

For condos in Pinellas, the AR for September stood at 15.3%.  In October it was 16.3%.  Well, that's flat -- no other description will work.

Single Family Homes

For single family homes in Pinellas County, there were 2,924 properties listed in MLS during September.  For October, the number of listed properties stood at 2,999.  That's not a significant difference although it is trending in the right direction to give buyers a little better choice.  (Just to take a stroll down memory lane, in October of 2007 there were 9,228 single family homes listed for sale in Pinellas.  Ahhh ... the good ol' days!)

Sales of single family homes were up a good bit in October as compared to September, and that's good news for everybody.  In October, 856 single family homes were sold in Pinellas County as compared to only 786 in September.  Statistically, that's a nice jump in a one-month period.  Moreover, the median price of single family homes moved up a bit in October.  The October median was $132,300 as compared to the median in October 2011 of $127,000.  That's an increase in median price of 4.2% in one year.  Seller's have to like that direction since it indicates that today's buyers are willing to pay a bit more.

Condominiums

We might be starting to see a little more excitement in the Pinellas condo market. 

Here's why.

The number of condos listed in Pinellas moved up this past month.  In September, condo listings stood at 3,241 but have moved up to 3,313 during October.  Again, this means condo buyers have a bit more from which to choose.  (Oh, by the way, in October 2007 there were 8,270 condos listed in MLS.)

Condo sales also improved during October jumping to 541 units sold versus September's 497.  I think this movement is a good omen for this winter's condo buying season.

But the best news for condo sales in Pinellas has got to be the median price move in the past twelve months.  The median price for condos jumped from $75,000 to $93,000 for the year ended October 31, 2012.  That's an increase of 24%!  Condo sellers have got to be happy to hear that news.

For those of you who are number crunchers, there were 17,498 condos and single family homes in the MLS in October of 2007.  At the end of October this year, there were only 6,312.  If you are a buyer or a seller remember this: scarcity drives prices upward.  Then, take a look at what has happened to the median price of condos in the past year.

My prediction: other things being equal, prices are going to move up.  Buy now or cry later.

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